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Wednesday, August 4, 2010

Xin Zhang - Chinese Real Estate Billionaire

This Bloomberg story was inspiring, especially the part about the cultural revolution. It was very similar to my mom's story. She also worked in the factories, studied in England, but she was no business person. This story is pretty well written, but fragmented and without a solid ending:

Zhang, who was born in 1965 as China was about to plunge into the chaos of the Cultural Revolution, is an unlikely billionaire. Her parents, who were both translators at Beijing’s Bureau of Foreign Languages, separated during Mao’s crackdown. As part of the Communist Party’s forced exodus of intellectuals to work in the countryside, Zhang and her mother ended up in a rural part of Henan province.

In 1979, they found their way to Hong Kong and lived in a single room just big enough for two bunk beds. They shared a bathroom with other families.

For five years, from age 14, Zhang toiled in small factories making sleeves, collars, zippers and electrical parts. She says conditions there were similar to those in mainland China today.

Cambridge University

“My life then was exactly the same as those factory workers,” Zhang says. “It was mindless work. You basically moved from one factory to another for whoever paid you slightly more.”

By age 19, she had saved the equivalent of a few thousand British pounds -- enough to buy an airplane ticket to London and support herself while she studied English at secretarial school.

“Quickly, after I landed in England, I found out ways to get scholarships,” she says. “England turned out to be a very encouraging place for me.”

She won a spot at the University of Sussex, where she earned her undergraduate degree in economics in 1991. Then she enrolled at Cambridge and graduated in 1992 with a master’s in development economics.

Goldman Sachs

Barings Plc, a London-based investment bank, hired Zhang right out of Cambridge to work in Hong Kong analyzing privatization in China. Soon after starting the job, she switched to Goldman Sachs, serving as an analyst at the investment bank. It was a short stay. In 1994, she joined Travelers Group Inc. Homesick, she returned to China a year later.

Zhang told the New Yorker magazine in 2005 that she had detested investment banking.

“On Wall Street, all values seemed upside down,” she said. “People spoke crassly, treated each other badly, looked down on the poor and adored the rich.” She said investment banking reminded her of her days working in the Hong Kong garment factories. “The difference is, in Hong Kong the competition turned people into shortsighted mice, whereas on Wall Street it turns them into wolves and tigers,” she said.

Zhang stepped back into China in 1995 as the economy was moving away from orthodox Marxism. As early as 1978, China’s leader, Deng Xiaoping, had begun to open markets, declaring: “To get rich is glorious.” Beijing, famous for its exquisite 600- year-old Forbidden City flanked by stolid Soviet-style architecture, was beginning to sprout modern buildings. Workers were flocking to the capital as China’s economy surged at the rate of 10 percent a year. A friend of Zhang’s recommended that she contact Beijing Vantone Real Estate Co., where Pan served as a partner.

Hawaii of China

Like Zhang, Pan was self-made. His grandfather, a supporter of Mao’s rival, Nationalist leaderChiang Kai-shek, had fought on the losing side in the civil war that ended in 1949, Zhang says. The family had been persecuted for it and forced to eke out a living as peasants in impoverished northwestern Gansu province.

“If I grew up with nothing, they grew up with even less,” Zhang says.

After getting a college diploma and working in the petroleum ministry, Pan in 1989 headed south to the tropical island of Hainan, then a freewheeling frontier about to be reshaped as the Hawaii of China. There, Pan learned the real estate business before returning with his partners to seek opportunities in Beijing, Zhang says.

Tiananmen Square

Within four days of meeting Zhang, Pan proposed. Soon after their marriage, he left Vantone and the newlyweds teamed up to form a company called Hongshi (red stone), later renamed Soho China. Zhang would use her experience in investment banking to attract foreign investors and architects; Pan had local knowledge and connections to negotiate with the government to acquire the land.

“It was the initial attraction in us being partners in business as well as partners in life,” Zhang says.

Zhang and Pan were setting up their company in 1995 as the local government in Beijing was developing a 4-square-kilometer central business district beyond the eastern end of the Avenue of Eternal Peace. The development was about 5 kilometers (3 miles) from Tiananmen Square, where the army had killed pro- democracy demonstrators six years earlier. The couple correctly gambled that the government would soon allow citizens to get home loans, and that a class of entrepreneurs would emerge to buy their live-work units.

Asian Crisis

For their first project, Pan and Zhang planned to turn a malodorous old Chinese liquor factory into Soho New Town: 10 brightly colored buildings from 12 to 40 stories high and accommodating 8,000 residents and hundreds of small businesses.

“Neither of us was financially established,” Zhang says. “But the good thing about having no experience is that you have no fear.”

As construction was about to begin in 1997, the Asian financial crisis struck. Beginning in then-debt-ridden Thailand when the government was forced to abandon its currency peg to the U.S. dollar, the contagion spread across the region, sending currencies other than the nonconvertible yuan plunging.

Investors outside of China who had promised to back the project suddenly couldn’t or wouldn’t come up with the funds. Pan turned to local investors to save Soho New Town, and the development sold out even before completion in 2001. Rather than trying to sell or lease entire buildings, Zhang and Pan peddled units to individual purchasers, a practice they still use today to reduce the risk of whole buildings sitting vacant.

Management Disputes

As China’s global aspirations grew, so did Zhang’s. By the early 2000s, China’s economy was rapidly overtaking those of the U.K. and Germany. Beijing had been chosen to host the 2008 Olympics, accelerating the government’s plans to develop the equivalent of three Manhattans in the central business district.

On the site of an old machine-tool factory, Zhang and Pan began in 2002 to put up Jianwai Soho, a 683,000-square-meter complex of 24 white, cubic buildings of varying heights designed by a Japanese architect, Riken Yamamoto. The project was so large that it took five years to complete and exposed a weakness in Soho China’s business model, says Jack Rodman, president of Shanghai-based Global Distressed Solutions LLC.

After selling the apartments, offices and shops in their developments, Pan and Zhang turned over control to independent management companies. At Jianwai Soho, disputes over management fees and quality of service broke out between owners and property managers -- tensions that continue to flare today. Some of the buildings are now in need of repair.

2007 IPO

Zhang says the management breakdowns hurt the reputation of Soho China, which is taking back control of all but one of its developments.

“Earlier, we said, ‘This is not our problem; why should we manage them?’” she says. “Then we realized they have our names on the buildings.”

Zhang in 2007 persuaded Pan to take the company public in Hong Kong and cash in. The timing of the initial public offering on October 8, 2007, was exquisite. Less than a month later, global markets began to tumble in the early days of the credit crisis. They raised $1.9 billion -- the biggest IPO by a property company in Hong Kong that year.

Soho China shares traded at HK$4.92 on Aug. 3, 40 percent below the offering price. After plummeting along with the rest of the stock markets during the financial meltdown, Soho China’s stock outperformed the Hong Kong and Asia Pacific property indexes almost twofold since it hit bottom in October 2008 through Aug. 3.

Wall Street Wolves

The IPO, which was underwritten by Goldman Sachs, HSBC Holdings Plc and UBS AG, marked a change in Zhang’s relationship with Wall Street. Only two years earlier, she had publicly lambasted investment bankers as wolves. Today, Zhang is more circumspect when asked about her Wall Street experiences.

“I had better be careful these days,” she says. “I am their client. I work with them very closely.”

Today, the Soho name appears on 14 developments in Beijing, a city of 22 million people. In August 2009, Zhang and Pan made their first move into Shanghai with their purchase from Morgan Stanley of the Exchange, a 50-story office building on Nanjing Road, Shanghai’s main shopping street.

Now called the Exchange-Soho, the development is a prime example of the real estate bubble in China, economist Xie says. Soho China paid Morgan Stanley 2.45 billion yuan for the building -- the equivalent of 34,000 yuan per square meter. In the first quarter of 2010, Zhang says, she was selling office space in the building for an average 61,500 yuan per square meter, almost doubling her money. That works out to $843 per square foot -- more than twice the $381 per square foot that HSBC made when it sold its New York headquarters on Fifth Ave. in October.




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